Learning surrogate models and data assimilation processes for advanced geophysical dynamics forecasting
Presenter
October 6, 2025
Event: 59622
Abstract
Deep learning has enabled the development of fast surrogate models for complex geophysical systems and, through their
adjoints, made it possible to perform variational data assimilation with them. I will illustrate these advances using
both deterministic and stochastic surrogates trained on a state-of-the-art physical sea-ice model. These surrogates are
stable, accurate, and physically consistent, and can be integrated into an operational sea-ice data assimilation and
forecasting system. In a second example, I will show that sequential data assimilation itself can be learned, leading to
methods that are significantly more efficient and robust than current state-of-the-art approaches. This, in turn, opens
new algorithmic directions for the theory of data assimilation.